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The impact of spikes in handgun acquisitions on firearm-related harms. 36,000 beyond baseline in gun prohibited California!

Doug_Nightmare

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https://injepijournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s40621-019-0212-0. OPEN ACCESS (means its agitprop to be widely seen)
Results
We estimate there were 36,142 excess handguns acquired in California in the 11 weeks following the election (95% prediction interval: 22,780 to 49,505); the Sandy Hook shooting occurred in week 6. We find city-level purchasing spikes were associated with higher rates of firearm injury in the 52 weeks post-election: a relative rate of 1.044 firearm injuries for each excess handgun per 1,000 people (95% CI: 1.000 to 1.089). This amounts to approximately 290 (95% CI: 0 to 616) additional firearm injuries (roughly a 4% increase) in California over the year. We do not detect statistically significant associations for shorter time windows or for firearm mortality.
 

Doug_Nightmare

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...excess handguns...California...the OP is slipping, or the weather has turned early up in the Great White North...
For the illiterates among US, excess here is a term of art meaning beyond expectations, hence “spike”.
 

OC for ME

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For the illiterates among US, excess here is a term of art meaning beyond expectations, hence “spike”.
Ya shudda included the Makary "study" on deaths due to medical errors to buttress this bogus pap you've posted...the weather certainly has turned way up there...yepper...

...and...if ya read the entire "study" excess and spike are not used interchangeably...

For the lazy among US...
First, we estimate excess handguns as the difference between actual handgun acquisitions, as recorded in California’s Dealer Record of Sales, and expected acquisitions, as predicted by a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving-average (SARIMA) time series model.
...or, in other words, we deduce that there are/were 36K guns acquired that were not documented in the dealer records...hmmm...

ETA
 
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solus

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Without coloured & clean, not scat covered reading glasses the article’s opening lead in sentence says it all..

“Research has documented...” uh what research?

then the smoke hits by them saying, “ We exploit cross-city variation in the estimated number of excess handgun acquisitions in California following the 2012 presidential election and the Sandy Hook school shooting 5 weeks later to assess whether the additional handguns were associated with increases in the rate of firearm-related harms at the city level.” So their data point are a minimum of 7 years olde!

So Is that exploitation mentioned by the researchers with or without researcher bias and what cities are in fact in their research criteria?

Now comes the mirror ~ careful you might get blinded...” First, we estimate excess handguns as the difference between actual handgun acquisitions, as recorded in California’s Dealer Record of Sales, and expected acquisitions, as predicted by a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving-average (SARIMA) time series model.” WHAT CRITERIA DEFINE WHAT CITIZEN’S HANDGUN IS EXCESS?

Ah good to see Lies, darn lies, and statistics mantra is still viable!

But let’s go on a bit...”Firearm ownership is a well-established risk factor for interpersonal, self-directed, and unintentional firearm harm...”
Well-established, of course by using four cherry picked self serving cites one dating 27 years ago contributes to conclusions regarding Sandy Hook...

As much as i wish to continue reviewing this piece of unscholarly garbage...the excitement is overwhelming causing PTSD symptoms remembering how American’s citizens worrying about firearm availability with the incoming president & his jilted party. [sarcasm Off]
 

solus

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LOL. Not through rose-colored-glasses obviously, but feces-covered-glasses.

You are not the intended audience so it was not written at your comprehension level.
Ah, exhibiting your narcissistic intellectual superiority really is embarrassing for us dougie as it unequivocally convinces us and ad hoc readers of the forum how shallow and insecure you actually are...sigh!
 

Doug_Nightmare

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Riiight. Unfortunately for you Solus, I don’t write for your approval. I know how Diogenes of Sinope is storied to have lived, with the dogs, mired in dog feces.
 

solus

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Riiight. Unfortunately for you Solus, I don’t write for your approval. I know how Diogenes of Sinope is storied to have lived, with the dogs, mired in dog feces.
Sorry your perceived notion i expressed disapproval over what you have posted but rather ignore the specific challenging of the material itself as being BS nonsense and nonviable rhetoric.

Disappointing that from an individual who professed earlier of your higher comprehensive capability would exhibit such elementary derived behaviour to you engage in such callous disrespectful name calling...
 

OC for ME

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...then again, the proffered study could be another data point that the profferererer agrees with the "conclusion" reached in the "study."
 

Doug_Nightmare

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proffered
LOL proffer; desperately seeking gravitas.

OP is not tendered pending acceptance, it is in your face to ignore or not.

ETA later: S*itting on the commode I realized that y’all are stuck in the hierarchy mode, inferior-superior employee-boss student-teachers all. . That’s pretty funny among All Men Are Created Equal; indeed naked, squalling, stupid. After that it’s dog-eat-dog competition and the Devil has taken the hindermost and marked them as His own. My sympathies.
 
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OC for ME

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LOL proffer; desperately seeking gravitas.

OP is not tendered pending acceptance, it is in your face to ignore or not.

ETA later: S*itting on the commode I realized that y’all are stuck in the hierarchy mode, inferior-superior employee-boss student-teachers all. . That’s pretty funny among All Men Are Created Equal; indeed naked, squalling, stupid. After that it’s dog-eat-dog competition and the Devil has taken the hindermost and marked them as His own. My sympathies.
Just a word, whose meaning is appropriate for the OP's op...cuz posting a post is the poster seeking acceptance of his post...of course, we could, all us other posters, ignore the OP's future posts thus mitigating...his misuse of the King's English.
 

solus

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LOL proffer; desperately seeking gravitas.

OP is not tendered pending acceptance, it is in your face to ignore or not.

ETA later: S*itting on the commode I realized that y’all are stuck in the hierarchy mode, inferior-superior employee-boss student-teachers all. . That’s pretty funny among All Men Are Created Equal; indeed naked, squalling, stupid. After that it’s dog-eat-dog competition and the Devil has taken the hindermost and marked them as His own. My sympathies.
Truly explains a lot, this continued display of your exaggerated egotistical & narcissistic behaviour dougie means you lack the ability to care or express sympathies...

You continue to embarrass yourself and are truly oblivious to the fact...shame actually.
 

Doug_Nightmare

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You continue to embarrass yourself and are truly oblivious to the fact...shame actually.
Yep, shameless to you lot, not of my values / social circle and why I don’t virtue signal. Think of yourselves as low quality AI bots.
 

solus

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Yep, shameless to you lot, not of my values / social circle and why I don’t virtue signal. Think of yourselves as low quality AI bots.
Your narcissistic rants are getting worse mate...and if your values/experiences are exclusively yours...you are delving further into your own solipsism mindset...what a hoot...dougie is a solipsism convert...by his own admission.
 
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